APRIL 11, 2002

READER SURVEY RESULTS

What's Holding Up Housing?
BW Online's readers consider low interest rates the top reason for buying a home these days

 
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Now is a reasonably good time to refinance a home, but it's less clear whether this is the right time to buy. At least, that's the view of the nearly 1,200 people who responded to our Mar. 27 Reader Survey.


Approximately 68% of the respondents said they would refinance now -- and an additional 12% have already done so. About 60% said they would refinance to lower their monthly mortgage payment, while 19% said their motivation would be to shorten their loan term. Only about 7% said they would refinance to borrow more money against their property. Some 67% of those who responded said they already own a home.

SAFER THAN STOCKS?  By a narrow margin of 39.5% to 36.9%, respondents said this isn't a good time to buy a home -- presumably because of the recent runup in prices across the country (see BW, 3/11/02, "The Homes Keep Selling") or perhaps beause of uncertain job prospects.

And for the most part, those who might buy said they would approach the purchase prudently. For instance, nearly one-third would buy now to take advantage of low interest rates, 22% would trade up after capturing the appreciation in their current home, and 20% would buy simply because they need a house. Only 11% would buy a home because they see it as a safer investment than stocks.

Moreover, some 65% of those who responded would make a down payment of 20% or more. And 71% would want a mortgage payment of no more than 30% of their gross income -- within the guideline that most experts suggest. Interestingly, 47% said they would use savings for a down payment, while 35% said they would use profits from an existing home. Only 6% would rely on stock market winnings.

Those who responded to this unscientific survey (so-called because anyone who wishes to can participate) ranged in age from their 20s to 55-plus, though the largest concentration -- about 53% -- gave their age as between 25 and 39.

Here are the complete results:

Do you currently own a home?
Option Total %  
Yes 816 66.67 %
No 408 33.33 %

Do you think now is a good time to buy?
Option Total %  
Yes 453 36.95 %
No 484 39.48 %
Maybe 234 19.09 %
Don't know 55 4.49 %

Do you think now is a good time to refinance a home?
Option Total %  
Yes 827 67.79 %
No 99 8.11 %
I've already refinanced recently 152 12.46 %
I don't own a home 142 11.64 %

What's the best reason for refinancing now?
Option Total %  
Lower the monthly mortgage payment 718 59.14 %
Borrow more money against the property 86 7.08 %
Shorten the term of the loan 227 18.7 %
I don't own a home 158 13.01 %
Not sure 25 2.06 %

If you were to buy a home now, what would your primary reason be?
Option Total %  
To invest in something safer than stocks 132 10.89 %
To take advantage of low mortgage interest rates 400 33.00 %
To buy before home prices go too high to afford 174 14.36 %
To capture the appreciation in a home you own now and use it to trade up or trade down 262 21.62 %
A simple need for shelter 244 20.13 %

If you were to buy a home today, what size down payment would you make as a percentage of the purchase price?
Option Total %  
50% 176 14.39 %
30% 182 14.88 %
20% 445 36.39 %
10% 235 19.22 %
5% 135 11.04 %
0% 50 4.09 %

If you were to buy a home today, where would you get the down payment?
Option Total %  
Savings 575 47.21 %
Stock market profits 73 5.99 %
Borrow from family and friends 47 3.86 %
Sell an existing home 436 35.8 %
I can't afford a house right now 62 5.09 %
Not sure 25 2.05 %

What percentage of your gross monthly income are you willing to spend on a monthly mortgage payment?
Option Total %  
20% 333 27.32 %
30% 542 44.46 %
40% 160 13.13 %
50% 77 6.32 %
Other 53 4.35 %
Not sure 54 4.43 %

If you bought a home today, how would you expect its value to change over the next five years?
Option Total %  
Rise by 20% or more 356 29.16 %
Rise, but by less than 20% 511 41.85 %
Remain stable 193 15.81 %
Drop by less than 20% 85 6.96 %
Drop by 20% or more 46 3.77 %
Other 3 0.25 %
Don't know 27 2.21 %

How old are you?
Option Total %  
25 to 29 193 15.82 %
30 to 34 244 20.00 %
35 to 39 217 17.79 %
40 to 44 150 12.3 %
45 to 49 129 10.57 %
50 to 54 117 9.59 %
55 or more 148 12.13 %
Other 22 1.80 %




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