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McCain Conceding Michigan

Posted by: David Kiley on October 2, 2008

GOP Presidential candidate John McCain has pretty much conceded Michigan to Democrat Barack Obama, reports The candidate, who beat George Bush in the 2000 GOP primary in Michigan, is yanking ads, mail and reassigning staff to other swing states where he still hopes to win—Ohio and Wisconsin.

In recent weeks,the spread between Obama and McCain in Michigan has widened to as much as nine points in some polls.

Turning the tide for the McCain campaign was the overwhelming new voter registration carried out by Democrats in Michigan. With school back in session, and more Michigan college students reachable by pollsters, the numbers seem overwhelming to the Republicans. The recent economic collapse in the U.S. has also driven up Obama’s numbers nationally and in many states.

Barack Obama spoke to Michiganders today in Grand Rapids, typically a Republican stronghold in the state.

McCain supported the $25 billion loan package from the government to automakers, a big issue for voters. But he has been tepid and non-committal toward doubling the loan package next year if elected. Obama has said he supports doubling the loans if the automakers need it.

Reader Comments


October 3, 2008 9:13 AM

From what I can tell the last time Michigan voted republican in a presidential election was 1988. It's quite possible that McCain has had a presence in Michigan just as a token to force Obama to defend it (spending resources there). As you mentioned, Barak was spending time in Michigan just yesterday. This is a common practice in recent presidential elections where a candidate will spend resources in a state (think Bush w/California in 2004) to force his opponent to shore it up.

Instead of looking to the ancient history of the 2000 republican primary--perhaps a more reasonable (and recent one) to look at is 2008 where McCain lost to Romney. I doubt McCain ever thought he could win Michigan in the general election in 2008 (unless he picked Romney as his vp).

Perhaps one's perception of McCain's support of automakers as being "tepid and non-committal" could be seen by others as a rational approach...collectively the automakers and unions have driven the US auto industry into the ground. At some point the rational thing to is to ask does it really make sense to spend more money bailing out (ok let's call it "loan") companies that continually refuse to be competitive (over a period of decades). Or at least take the approach, let's see what Detroit accomplishes with the first bag of money we throw at them before we commit to more.

The unfortunate thing about states which have strong fidelity to a given party often can hinder themselves. Point to think about, if McCain thought that Michigan was really in play, would he perhaps be more likely to support "doubling" the aid package to win the state? If Michigan (by virtue of it's consistent voting history) basically removes itself from competition, then what if the other party's candidate wins? Then Michigan loses. The states that are the true tossups (such as where I live) on a regular basis always seem to get more out of the winning presidential candidate.

In any event, I'm not impressed with either candidate. But I sure do like Joe Biden.

From Kiley: McCain had more than token presence here. He had more than a dozen offices statewide. Though Obama has had more than 20.


October 3, 2008 2:01 PM

A more serious measure of "presence" would be money spent and the number of visits by the candidate and his vp selection. I'm not sure what constitutes an office.


October 21, 2008 10:03 AM

Palin on CNN: "that One" won! Watch full video: She said that now it is obvious result of the company Mccain

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