Economy

Justa y Equilibrada


Mariachi musicians encourage people to come to vote on election day in the predominantly Latino Sun Valley district of Los Angeles on Nov. 6, 2012

Photograph by Joe Klamar/AFP via Getty Images

Mariachi musicians encourage people to come to vote on election day in the predominantly Latino Sun Valley district of Los Angeles on Nov. 6, 2012

Growth, particularly in political arenas, has to be measured in context. So, what did adding 1.4 million voters do for Hispanic political clout? It boosted the Latino share of the total U.S. vote by a mere one half of one percent from 5.5 percent of the votes cast in the 2000 election to six percent last year (2004), according to the CPS. And, what did it take to achieve that increase of one half of one percent? A total of four people had to be added to the Hispanic population to generate each one of those additional votes.
 
—Roberto Suro, Richard Fry, Jeffrey Passel, Hispanics and the 2004 Election: Population, Electorate and Voters. Pew Hispanic Center, June 27, 2005

From 6 percent (2004) to about 10 percent (2012) of the electorate in eight years. (That equates to about 16 percent in 2020. Sixteen percent + a presumed black 13 percent = 29 percent black and latino vote by the time David Ortiz retires.)
 
You do the math.
 
Speaker Boehner, Governor Bush, and Senator Old White-Guy in a campo de batalla state will, at some point, have to add and/or multiply in a Grand Old Party way.
 
Fear not; 2016 beckons. Republicans are reaching for the abacus.
 
They are justa y equilibrada (fair and balanced). Discuss.

Keene hosts Bloomberg Surveillance 7-10 a.m. ET on 1130 AM in the New York metro area and nationally on SiriusXM 113.
More News: election Hispanic vote

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