BUSINESSWEEK ONLINE : JANUARY 24, 2000 ISSUE
COVER STORY

One Stab at Valuing the Stock


Merrill Lynch & Co. analyst Henry Blodget projects the combined companies' earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) in 2001. Different assumptions about the multiple the market will pay for EBITDA produce a target stock price of $55 to $90 a share.

TOTAL SHARES IN NEW AOL TIME WARNER
4.8 billion

STAND-ALONE AOL EBITDA
$3.5 billion

STAND-ALONE TIME WARNER EBITDA
$6.5 billion

GAINS FROM SYNERGY
$1 billion

TOTAL EBITDA
$11 billion or 2.30 per share

CONSERVATIVE PROJECTION OF COMBINED COMPANIES' EBITDA MULTIPLE
25

EBITDA X MULTIPLE
About $55 a share

AGGRESSIVE PROJECTION OF COMBINED COMPANIES' EBITDA MULTIPLE
40

EBITDA X MULTIPLE
About $90 a share

DATA: MERRILL LYNCH & CO.


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