BW Market Forecast Survey for 1998

BUSINESS WEEK MARKET FORECAST FOR 1998

DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL AVERAGE STANDARD &POOR'S 500 NASDAQ COMPOSITE ASSET ALLOCATION FAVORITE STOCK SECTOR FAVORITE STOCK
NAME/FIRM MIDYEAR YEAREND YEAREND YEAREND STOCKS BONDS CASH
LASZLO BIRINYI JR. Birinyi Associates 9500 10250 1200 1800 75% 10% 15% Cyclicals America Online
ROBERT J. FROEHLICH Zurich Kemper Investments 9300 10000 1200 1850 75 20 5 Cons.staples
EUGENE E. PERONI JR. Janney Montgomery Scott 8800 9850

100 0 0 Cons.staples Wm. Wrigley Jr. Co.
ANTHONY F. DWYER Ladenburg Thalmann & Co. 9800 9800 1060 1750 65 25 10 Technology Delia's
ROBERT S. ROBBINS Robinson-Humphrey 8800 9455 1143 1860 60 35 5 Financial AirTouch Communs.
JOSEPH BATTIPAGLIA Gruntal & Co. 9000 9400 1050 1900 80 20 0 Technology Boeing
JEFF APPLEGATE Lehman Brothers 8600 9200 1100
75 25 0 Financial Microsoft
BARRY HYMAN Ehrenkrantz King Nussbaum 9300 9150 1073 1750 70 25 1 5 Health care Amgen
PETER J. CANELO Morgan Stanley, Dean Witter 8400 9000 1100 1750 70 20 10 Energy Vintage Petroleum
RAO CHALASANI Everen Securities 9300 9000 1060



Technology America Online
JERRY DOMBCIK McDonald & Co. 8400 9000 1073 1720 75 20 5 Financial Shoe Carnival
HUGH JOHNSON First Albany 8400 9000 1100 1850 58 42 0 Financial Fleet Financial Grp.
JACK SHAUGHNESSY Advest 8500 9000 1060 1800 60 30 10 Technology Astoria Financial
EDWARD G. RILEY JR BankBoston 8500 8950 1065 1776 60 35 5 Health care Ascend Communs.
ALLAN S. RONESS J W Charles 8450 8900 1200 2015 85 0 15 Financial Alza
THOMAS McMANUS NatWest Markets 8250 8850 1100 1750 64 33 3 Cons.staples Philip Morris
DOUGLAS CLIGGOTT J.P. Morgan 8600 8800 1065 1750 60 30 10 Services First Data Corp.
ALFRED GOLDMAN A.G. Edwards & Sons 8300 8800 1050 1750 70 20 10 Financial Reading & Bates
EUGENIA M. SIMPSON Kirkpatrick Pettis 8400 8800 1080 2010 70 20 10 Cyclicals Ballantyne of Omaha
CLARE W. ZEMPEL Robert W. Baird & Co. 8380 8740 1035 1865 70 25 5 Financial ADC Telecommuns.
ABBY JOSEPH COHEN Goldman Sachs
8700 1075 1775 65 25 10 2 Financial
JOHN K. LYNCH Interstate Johnson Lane 8375 8700 1075 1825 60 30 10 Technology World Access
RICHARD DAVIS JR. Rauscher Pierce Refsnes 8222 8666 1066 1812 65 30 5 Energy American Oncology
RICHARD E. CRIPPS Legg Mason Wood Walker 8400 8600 1050 1800 80 0 20 Health care HealthCare COMPARE
CHARLES J. PRADILLA Cowen & Co. 8200 8600 1060 1900 45 45 10 Health care Eli Lilly
ALAN F. SKRAINKA Edward Jones 8300 8600 1050 1735 70 25 5 Financial Hartford Life
J. THOMAS MADDEN Federated Investors 9000 8500 1025 1800 55 45 0 Health care IBM
GREG A. SMITH Prudential Securities 7500 8500 1020 1712 85 3 10 5 Financial Kilroy Realty
THOMAS M. KERESEY Palm Beach Invest. Adv. 8100 8450 1035 1710 70 22 8 Technology Pfizer
ELIZABETH J. MACKAY Bear Stearns 8800 8350 1015 1750 50 40 10 Services DST Systems
WILLIAM L. PATERNOTTE BT Alex. Brown 8000 8200 980 1750 65 4 20 15 Services Host Marriott
PETER ANDERSON American Express Fin. Adv. 7700 8100 990 1600 70 15 5 15 Financial Washington Mutual
MARSHALL ACUFF Salomon Smith Barney 8000 8000 940 1400 55 45 0
Philip Morris
ROY M. BLUMBERG Josephthal 8450 8000 970 1500 50 30 20 Health care Teradyne
ROBERT H. STOVALL Stovall/21st Advisers 8936 7999 955 1580 45 40 15 Financial
CHARLES G. CRANE Key Asset Management 7400 7800 960 1650 75 20 5 Financial Wells Fargo
G. JACOBSEN Trevor Stewart Burton & Jacobsen 7750 7750 925 1600 60 40 0 Health care Olsten
A. C. MOORE Principal Financial Securities 7265 7675 930 1560 60 30 10 Health care Boeing
ERIC MILLER Donaldson, Lufkin & Jenrette 8100 7300 905 1150 50 45 5 Health care Wells Fargo
ROB BROWN Ferris, Baker Watts 7401 7061 841 1389 40 45 15 Health care Patina Oil & Gas
JOSEPH H. BARTHEL Fahnestock 8400 7000 840 1400 60 30 10 Utilities Snyder Communs.
MARC DION Ziegler Asset Management 6800 7000 850 1480 95 0 5 Financial Harris Corp.
MICHAEL METZ CIBC-Oppenheimer 6500 7000 880 1550 25 50 25 Utilities Polaroid
DON R. HAYS Wheat First Butcher Singer 7900 6300 770 1130 72 16 12 Health care Duke Energy
ROBERT F. DICKEY Dain Bosworth 7200 6100 760 1150 60 20 20 Cons.staples Niagara Mohawk Pwr.
CONSENSUS 8311 8464 1018 1768 65 26 9

1 Includes 10% in high yield bond funds 2 Includes Goldman Sachs Commodity Index 3 Includes 25% in real estate investment trusts  4 Includes 5% in real estate 5 Includes 10% in emerging market debt
DATA: BUSINESS WEEK


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