
STOCKREPORTS |
Network General Corporation |
Nasdaq Symbol NETG In S&P SmallCap 600 |
| 19-JUL-97 |
Industry: Computer (Software & Services) |
Summary: Network General is a leading supplier of software-based monitoring and analysis tools that help troubleshoot and maintain enterprise networks. |
 |
Recent Price 13.44 52 Wk Range 29.75 - 13.44 |
Yield Nil 12-Mo. P/E 24.4 |
Quantitative Evaluation:
Outlook
(1 Lowest - 5 Highest)
5+
Fair Value
29.30
Risk
MEDIUM
Earn/Div Rank
B+
|
 |
|
Technical Evaluation:
BEARISH
since 02/97
Rel. Strength Rank
(1 Lowest - 99 Highest)
6
Insider Activity
NA
|
Overview 03-JUL-97
Network General is the market share leader in providing fault tolerant and performance management solutions for enterprise networks. NETG's Service Level Manager (SLM) software can detect and solve problems in up to 100 elements in a network, including routers, switches, PCs and servers. The company is well positioned to benefit from the increasing implementation of network computing and decentralized client-server architectures in place of centralized mainframe structures. The recent introduction of a wide-area network (WAN) analyzer tool for notebook computers extends the reach of the company's monitoring capability beyond the local-area network (LAN). The company pre-announced disappointing June quarter results, citing order weakness in Europe and longer sales cycles. Our revised outlook is for revenues and earnings (before charges) to advance about 17% in FY 98 (Mar.).
Valuation 03-JUL-97
We downgraded NETG shares to hold from accumulate following a disappointing pre-announcement of results for the June quarter. NETG management expects revenues to be up about 12% year to year in the June quarter, significantly below the company's 25% long-term growth rate. Despite NETG's strong position in the network monitoring and analysis market, we are concerned about competing products that have recently entered the market from larger players such as Cisco, 3Com and Ascend. We are lowering our FY 98 (Mar.) EPS estimate to $1.00 (from $1.25) to reflect limited earnings visibility for the remainder of 1997. FY 97 earnings included $0.43 a share of acquisition-related charges.
Key Stock Statistics
| S&P EPS Est. 1998 | 1.00 |
| P/E on S&P Est. 1998 | 13.4 |
| S&P EPS Est. 1999 | 1.35 |
| Dividend Rate/Share | Nil |
| Shs. outstg. (M) | 42.7 |
| Avg. daily vol. (M) | 0.976 |
|
| Tang. Bk. Value/Share |
4.15 |
| Beta |
0.88 |
| Shareholders |
400 |
| Market cap. (B) |
$0.574 |
| Inst. holdings |
80% |
|
Value of $10,000 invested 5 years ago:$ 15,808
Fiscal Year Ending Mar. 31
| Revenue (Million $) |
|
1997 |
1996 |
1995 |
1994 |
1993 |
1992 |
| Q1 |
51.68 |
39.74 |
30.05 |
23.72 |
15.50 |
13.00 |
| Q2 |
55.55 |
43.73 |
32.38 |
26.40 |
20.10 |
14.50 |
| Q3 |
65.44 |
51.59 |
37.53 |
30.83 |
24.10 |
17.40 |
| Q4 |
68.01 |
53.79 |
39.80 |
33.95 |
23.60 |
19.00 |
| Year |
240.7 |
188.8 |
139.8 |
114.9 |
83.30 |
64.00 |
|
| Earning Per Share ($) |
|
1997 |
1996 |
1995 |
1994 |
1993 |
1992 |
| Q1 |
0.19 |
0.16 |
0.11 |
0.04 |
0.03 |
0.06 |
| Q2 |
0.22 |
0.01 |
0.12 |
0.08 |
0.08 |
0.03 |
| Q3 |
0.28 |
0.21 |
0.16 |
0.10 |
0.09 |
0.09 |
| Q4 |
-0.15 |
0.22 |
0.18 |
0.05 |
0.08 |
0.10 |
| Year |
0.55 |
0.60 |
0.57 |
0.27 |
0.28 |
0.28 |
|
Dividend Data: No cash dividends have been paid, and NETG does not expect to pay dividends in the foreseeable future. A two-for-one stock split was effected in 1990.
Business Summary 03-JUL-97
Consider this scenario. A company's network slows to a crawl, functions fail and applications work sporadically. Despite repeated calls to its various vendors' support lines, the company cannot determine whether the problem stems from the network, the system, the database or one of the applications. Network General (NETG) designs, manufactures, markets and supports software-based analysis and monitoring tools for managing enterprise-wide computer networks. The company's "Total Network Visibility" technology enables NETG's customers to see into their networks and to locate and solve the problems that affect performance, often even before they occur.With the standard network now containing multiple vendors and protocols spanning multiple geographies, the potential for performance problems has never been greater. To detect these problems, NETG offers a network analysis product line consisting of portable tools and centralized systems that use artificial intelligence-based software to facilitate real-time identification, diagnosis and resolution of network problems.
NETG's portable tools are designed to monitor and analyze individual local area network (LAN) and internetwork segments. The flagship tool product is the Expert Sniffer Network Analyzer, which uses artificial intelligence technology, called expert analysis, that learns network configurations automatically. The company's system product is the Distributed Sniffer System (DSS), designed for monitoring and troubleshooting distributed enterprise and client/server networks. Clients have the ability to detect faults and solve performance problems at any level of the network, from the network's cabling to the applications that it runs.
In September 1996, NETG unveiled Total Network Visibility (TNV), an open, distributed application for the management of client/server environments and the Service Level Manager (SLM), the first in a family of applications that will leverage the TNV architecture. SLM is designed to provide insight into overall network health and availability by consolidating information from a variety of data sources. In February 1997, NETG released the WAN Sniffer Analyzer NB for PC-based notebooks, which pinpoints WAN (wide area network) problems and focuses troubleshooting efforts.
Going forward, NETG plans to expand the scope of its network monitoring solutions in UNIX server performance monitoring, Cisco router systems, Oracle client/server database applications, and the Internet through visibility to HTTP (Hypertext Transmission Protocol) traffic over the World Wide Web.
Capitalization
Long Term Debt:
None (3/97).
Options:
To buy 7,162,508 shs. at $2.19 to $20.00 ea. (3/96, adj.).
| Per Share Data ($) |
|
1997 |
1996 |
1995 |
1994 |
1993 |
1992 |
1991 |
1990 |
1989 |
1988 |
| Tangible Bk. Val. |
4.15 |
4.13 |
3.79 |
3.16 |
2.98 |
1.71 |
1.44 |
1.17 |
0.61 |
0.15 |
| Cash Flow |
0.80 |
0.80 |
0.73 |
0.41 |
0.35 |
0.36 |
0.32 |
0.25 |
0.14 |
0.06 |
| Earnings |
0.55 |
0.60 |
0.57 |
0.27 |
0.28 |
0.28 |
0.25 |
0.22 |
0.13 |
0.06 |
| Dividends |
Nil |
Nil |
Nil |
Nil |
Nil |
Nil |
Nil |
Nil |
Nil |
Nil |
| Payout Ratio |
Nil |
Nil |
Nil |
Nil |
Nil |
Nil |
Nil |
Nil |
Nil |
Nil |
| Cal. Yrs. |
1996 |
1995 |
1994 |
1993 |
1992 |
1991 |
1990 |
1989 |
1988 |
1987 |
| Prices - High |
30 1/4 |
23 1/4 |
13 1/8 |
10 1/8 |
12 3/4 |
8 5/8 |
7 3/8 |
5 3/8 |
NA |
NA |
| - Low |
15 |
11 3/8 |
7 |
4 |
4 |
3 1/8 |
2 |
2 |
NA |
NA |
| P/E Ratio - High |
55 |
39 |
23 |
38 |
46 |
31 |
29 |
25 |
NA |
NA |
| - Low |
27 |
19 |
12 |
15 |
15 |
11 |
8 |
9 |
NA |
NA |
|
| Income Statement Analysis (Million $) |
|
1997 |
1996 |
1995 |
1994 |
1993 |
1992 |
1991 |
1990 |
1989 |
1988 |
| Revs. |
241 |
189 |
140 |
115 |
83.3 |
64.0 |
44.6 |
29.4 |
12.9 |
4.9 |
| Oper. Inc. |
69.6 |
51.8 |
38.6 |
25.8 |
14.7 |
16.0 |
10.9 |
9.2 |
4.3 |
1.5 |
| Depr. |
11.5 |
9.2 |
6.8 |
6.2 |
2.8 |
2.4 |
1.8 |
1.0 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
| Int. Exp. |
11.5 |
Nil |
Nil |
Nil |
Nil |
Nil |
Nil |
Nil |
Nil |
Nil |
| Pretax Inc. |
44.7 |
42.5 |
37.1 |
17.3 |
15.2 |
13.8 |
10.7 |
9.6 |
4.3 |
1.5 |
| Eff. Tax Rate |
44% |
36% |
32% |
35% |
33% |
35% |
32% |
38% |
40% |
43% |
| Net Inc. |
25.1 |
27.4 |
25.4 |
11.3 |
10.3 |
9.0 |
7.3 |
5.9 |
2.6 |
0.8 |
|
| Balance Sheet & Other Fin. Data (Million $) |
|
1997 |
1996 |
1995 |
1994 |
1993 |
1992 |
1991 |
1990 |
1989 |
1988 |
| Cash |
132 |
116 |
92.9 |
55.6 |
30.2 |
35.4 |
29.6 |
26.7 |
13.0 |
2.9 |
| Curr. Assets |
204 |
166 |
130 |
91.9 |
60.3 |
58.2 |
41.3 |
33.7 |
16.2 |
4.3 |
| Total Assets |
263 |
223 |
196 |
161 |
130 |
58.0 |
45.0 |
37.0 |
17.0 |
5.0 |
| Curr. Liab. |
80.0 |
40.0 |
28.4 |
26.4 |
18.5 |
10.6 |
4.2 |
3.5 |
1.8 |
1.6 |
| LT Debt |
Nil |
Nil |
Nil |
Nil |
Nil |
Nil |
Nil |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
| Common Eqty. |
179 |
180 |
166 |
132 |
110 |
53.0 |
41.0 |
33.0 |
15.0 |
3.0 |
| Total Cap. |
179 |
180 |
166 |
132 |
110 |
54.0 |
41.0 |
33.0 |
15.0 |
3.0 |
| Cap. Exp. |
14.7 |
13.9 |
8.8 |
7.5 |
6.3 |
4.5 |
2.8 |
3.1 |
0.8 |
0.2 |
| Cash Flow |
36.6 |
36.6 |
32.2 |
17.5 |
13.1 |
11.4 |
9.1 |
6.9 |
2.8 |
0.9 |
|
|
| Curr. Ratio |
2.5 |
4.1 |
4.6 |
3.5 |
3.3 |
5.5 |
9.9 |
9.7 |
8.9 |
2.7 |
| % LT Debt of Cap. |
Nil |
Nil |
Nil |
Nil |
Nil |
Nil |
Nil |
0.2 |
0.5 |
2.6 |
| % Net Inc.of Revs. |
10.5 |
14.5 |
18.2 |
9.8 |
12.3 |
14.0 |
16.3 |
20.1 |
19.9 |
16.9 |
| % Ret. on Assets |
10.4 |
13.1 |
14.2 |
7.3 |
9.9 |
16.1 |
17.7 |
16.1 |
15.1 |
18.4 |
| % Ret. on Equity |
14.0 |
15.9 |
17.1 |
8.8 |
11.9 |
18.9 |
19.6 |
17.9 |
28.6 |
29.4 |
Data as orig. reptd.; bef. results of disc. opers. and/or spec. items. Per share data adj. for stk. divs. as of ex-div. date. E-Estimated. NA-Not Available. NM-Not Meaningful. NR-Not Ranked.
Office--4200 Bohannon Dr., Menlo Park, CA 94025.
Tel--(415) 473-2000.
Website--www.ngc.com
Chrmn--H. J. Saal.
Pres & CEO--L. G. Denend.
EVP & COO--D. Carver.
SVP, CFO & Secy--J. T. Richardson.
Dirs--C. J. Abbe, D. C. Chance, L. G. Denend, H. Frank, G. M. Gallo, L. R. Hootnick, J. L. Hyland, H. J. Saal.
Transfer Agent & Registrar--Chase Tust Co. of California.
Incorporated--in Delaware in 1987.
Empl-- 780.
S&P Analyst: Aydin Tuncer

This report is for information purposes and should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Neither S&P nor any other party guarantee its accuracy or make warranties regarding results from its usage. Redistribution is prohibited without written permission. Copyright © 1997