
STOCKREPORTS |
Electronic Arts Inc. |
Nasdaq Symbol ERTS In S&P MidCap 400 |
| 19-JUL-97 |
Industry: Computer (Software & Services) |
Summary: Electronic Arts produces entertainment software for CD-ROM-based platforms, including IBM PCs and compatibles, as well as Sega Genesis and Super Nintendo Entertainment systems. |
 |
Recent Price 33.75 52 Wk Range 37.88 - 20.13 |
Yield Nil 12-Mo. P/E 35.2 |
Quantitative Evaluation:
Outlook
(1 Lowest - 5 Highest)
5-
Fair Value
43.80
Risk
MEDIUM
Earn/Div Rank
B+
|
 |
|
Technical Evaluation:
BULLISH
since 05/97
Rel. Strength Rank
(1 Lowest - 99 Highest)
62
Insider Activity
Neutral
|
Overview 12-MAY-97
Revenues should rise in the 20% range in FY 98 (Mar.), as strong sales of CD-ROM- based products, spurred by increased numbers of PCs in the home, and demand for software tailored for the new 32-bit dedicated entertainment systems made by Sony and Sega, as well as Nintendo's new 64-bit entertainment system, outweigh sluggish sales of cartridge products for the 16-bit Sega Genesis and Super Nintendo entertainment systems. International markets are expected to remain particularly strong. The life cycle of entertainment software is short, typically six to 18 months; with about 75% of annual revenues derived from the sale of new products, the continued introduction of new software offerings (63 were introduced in FY 97) is encouraging. Margins are expected to widen, on the higher volume, a more favorable product mix, and controlled spending levels.
Valuation 12-MAY-97
The stock rebounded from its recent lows, on evidence of a successful transition to the new generation of entertainment systems and PC-CD products. The shares had been weak on fears that the high R&D costs required to develop the more sophisticated and graphics-intensive entertainment software programs for the new hardware platforms, could penalize earnings. ERTS is maintaining and building on its leadership position in the growing entertainment software market, aided by a growing PC-CD segment and strength in the new dedicated entertainment systems, including the Sony Playstation, Sega Saturn and the Nintendo 64. The shares, which are selling at about 24 times our FY 98 estimate, are expected to outperform the market over the next 12 months.
Key Stock Statistics
| S&P EPS Est. 1998 | 1.25 |
| P/E on S&P Est. 1998 | 27.0 |
| Dividend Rate/Share | Nil |
| Shs. outstg. (M) | 53.9 |
| Avg. daily vol. (M) | 0.745 |
|
| Tang. Bk. Value/Share |
7.05 |
| Beta |
1.75 |
| Shareholders |
2,100 |
| Market cap. (B) |
$ 1.8 |
| Inst. holdings |
87% |
|
Value of $10,000 invested 5 years ago:$ 35,686
Fiscal Year Ending Mar. 31
| Revenue (Million $) |
|
1997 |
1996 |
1995 |
1994 |
1993 |
1992 |
| Q1 |
80.63 |
80.03 |
74.24 |
79.50 |
50.01 |
24.60 |
| Q2 |
129.3 |
93.66 |
86.29 |
82.09 |
54.60 |
33.00 |
| Q3 |
271.1 |
239.7 |
216.6 |
149.5 |
107.1 |
59.10 |
| Q4 |
143.8 |
117.3 |
108.1 |
107.2 |
86.58 |
45.40 |
| Year |
624.8 |
531.9 |
493.4 |
418.3 |
298.4 |
162.1 |
|
| Earning Per Share ($) |
|
1997 |
1996 |
1995 |
1994 |
1993 |
1992 |
| Q1 |
Nil |
0.02 |
0.24 |
0.15 |
0.10 |
0.03 |
| Q2 |
0.11 |
0.06 |
0.14 |
0.16 |
0.11 |
0.07 |
| Q3 |
0.66 |
0.54 |
0.48 |
0.36 |
0.25 |
0.15 |
| Q4 |
0.19 |
0.14 |
0.24 |
0.23 |
0.17 |
0.10 |
| Year |
0.96 |
0.75 |
1.07 |
0.90 |
0.65 |
0.36 |
|
Dividend Data: No cash dividends have been paid. Two-for-one stock splits were effected in 1992 and 1993.
Business Summary 12-MAY-97
Electronic Arts Inc. creates, markets and distributes interactive entertainment software for a variety of platforms, including the Sega Genesis and Super Nintendo Entertainment systems and CD-ROM-based systems, including IBM PCs and compatibles and 32-bit platforms such as the Sony Playstation, Sega Saturn and 3DO entertainment system. Revenues by hardware type in recent fiscal years (Mar.) were:
|
FY 96 |
FY 95 |
| Sega Genesis |
26% |
43% |
| Super Nintendo |
12% |
14% |
| PC CD |
26% |
15% |
| Other CD-ROM |
15% |
6% |
| Other |
21% |
22% |
|
At March 31, 1996, the company marketed approximately 120 titles it had created and distributed over 100 titles developed by other software publishers under its Affiliated Label program. Products are distributed through a direct sales force in the U.S., and primarily through third-party distributors in Europe and Asia, to more than 50,000 retail locations worldwide.
In FY 96, international markets accounted for 42% of revenue, up from 32% in FY 95.
Through FY 96 year-end, each of 79 titles developed by ERTS had generated net revenues exceeding $5,000,000. Popular games include "Madden Football," "NBA Live," "FIFA Soccer," "PGA Tour Golf," "NHL Hockey," "College Football," "Road Rash" and "Wing Commander."
In the FY 95 third quarter, ERTS and Capital Cities/ABC, Inc. formed a joint venture to develop and publish interactive software for personal computers and video game machines; each company holds a 50% interest in the venture.
In the first quarter of FY 95, the company recorded a $10,000,000 payment from Broderbund Software ($8,600,000, net of costs incurred; $0.12 a share, after taxes) in connection with the termination of a merger agreement between the company and Broderbund.
Important Developments
May '97
In the fourth quarter of FY 97, revenues derived in North American markets rose 21%, year to year, and accounted for 45% of sales; international markets rose 24%, providing 55% of sales.
May '97
CD-ROM products accounted for 64% of revenues in FY 97 (up from 41% in FY 96); 16-bit video game cartridges contributed 14% (38%).
Capitalization
Long Term Debt:
None (3/97).
| Per Share Data ($) |
|
1997 |
1996 |
1995 |
1994 |
1993 |
1992 |
1991 |
1990 |
1989 |
1988 |
| Tangible Bk. Val. |
NA |
6.11 |
4.66 |
3.61 |
2.37 |
1.55 |
1.14 |
0.86 |
0.42 |
0.26 |
| Cash Flow |
NA |
1.04 |
1.27 |
1.05 |
0.73 |
0.40 |
0.26 |
0.20 |
0.17 |
0.07 |
| Earnings |
0.96 |
0.75 |
1.07 |
0.90 |
0.65 |
0.36 |
0.23 |
0.17 |
0.13 |
0.04 |
| Dividends |
Nil |
Nil |
Nil |
Nil |
Nil |
Nil |
Nil |
Nil |
Nil |
Nil |
| Payout Ratio |
Nil |
Nil |
Nil |
Nil |
Nil |
Nil |
Nil |
Nil |
Nil |
Nil |
| Cal. Yrs. |
1996 |
1995 |
1994 |
1993 |
1992 |
1991 |
1990 |
1989 |
1988 |
1987 |
| Prices - High |
39 7/8 |
42 1/4 |
33 1/2 |
42 |
21 3/4 |
9 5/8 |
4 1/4 |
2 3/8 |
NA |
NA |
| - Low |
21 1/8 |
15 3/8 |
12 3/4 |
19 3/4 |
9 1/8 |
2 1/4 |
1 9/16 |
1 3/4 |
NA |
NA |
| P/E Ratio - High |
42 |
56 |
31 |
47 |
33 |
26 |
19 |
14 |
NA |
NA |
| - Low |
22 |
20 |
12 |
22 |
14 |
6 |
7 |
10 |
NA |
NA |
|
| Income Statement Analysis (Million $) |
|
1997 |
1996 |
1995 |
1994 |
1993 |
1992 |
1991 |
1990 |
1989 |
1988 |
| Revs. |
NA |
532 |
493 |
418 |
298 |
162 |
102 |
72.0 |
63.0 |
50.0 |
| Oper. Inc. |
NA |
69.4 |
74.2 |
68.4 |
45.2 |
24.6 |
14.1 |
10.2 |
6.8 |
4.0 |
| Depr. |
NA |
15.9 |
9.3 |
7.9 |
4.0 |
1.7 |
1.5 |
1.2 |
1.5 |
0.9 |
| Int. Exp. |
NA |
Nil |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.0 |
| Pretax Inc. |
NA |
59.6 |
78.1 |
64.3 |
43.7 |
24.3 |
13.8 |
9.6 |
5.2 |
3.2 |
| Eff. Tax Rate |
NA |
32% |
32% |
30% |
31% |
36% |
34% |
37% |
22% |
60% |
| Net Inc. |
NA |
40.5 |
55.7 |
44.7 |
30.9 |
15.7 |
9.1 |
6.0 |
4.0 |
1.4 |
|
| Balance Sheet & Other Fin. Data (Million $) |
|
1997 |
1996 |
1995 |
1994 |
1993 |
1992 |
1991 |
1990 |
1989 |
1988 |
| Cash |
NA |
186 |
185 |
142 |
98.0 |
56.9 |
27.6 |
22.0 |
3.1 |
0.6 |
| Curr. Assets |
NA |
300 |
272 |
234 |
153 |
91.2 |
53.7 |
39.8 |
19.1 |
16.6 |
| Total Assets |
NA |
424 |
341 |
274 |
181 |
101 |
63.0 |
47.0 |
26.0 |
23.0 |
| Curr. Liab. |
NA |
101 |
103 |
98.0 |
67.7 |
35.9 |
19.1 |
14.0 |
9.1 |
11.6 |
| LT Debt |
NA |
Nil |
Nil |
Nil |
Nil |
Nil |
Nil |
Nil |
0.2 |
0.2 |
| Common Eqty. |
NA |
322 |
237 |
172 |
111 |
65.2 |
43.8 |
32.6 |
16.2 |
9.9 |
| Total Cap. |
NA |
323 |
238 |
176 |
114 |
65.2 |
43.9 |
32.7 |
16.4 |
10.2 |
| Cap. Exp. |
NA |
56.8 |
16.5 |
14.0 |
17.8 |
3.2 |
1.6 |
0.8 |
2.7 |
2.9 |
| Cash Flow |
NA |
56.3 |
65.1 |
52.6 |
34.9 |
17.4 |
10.6 |
7.2 |
5.5 |
2.1 |
|
|
| Curr. Ratio |
NA |
3.0 |
2.6 |
2.4 |
2.3 |
2.5 |
2.8 |
2.8 |
2.1 |
1.4 |
| % LT Debt of Cap. |
NA |
Nil |
Nil |
Nil |
Nil |
Nil |
Nil |
Nil |
0.9 |
1.7 |
| % Net Inc.of Revs. |
NA |
7.7 |
11.3 |
10.7 |
10.3 |
9.7 |
9.0 |
8.3 |
6.3 |
2.6 |
| % Ret. on Assets |
NA |
10.6 |
17.6 |
19.4 |
21.1 |
18.4 |
16.5 |
16.6 |
16.4 |
7.2 |
| % Ret. on Equity |
NA |
14.5 |
26.5 |
31.3 |
33.8 |
27.7 |
23.7 |
24.8 |
30.7 |
14.2 |
Data as orig. reptd.; bef. results of disc. opers. and/or spec. items. Per share data adj. for stk. divs. as of ex-div. date. E-Estimated. NA-Not Available. NM-Not Meaningful. NR-Not Ranked.
Office--1450 Fashion Island Blvd., San Mateo, CA 94404.
Tel--(415) 571-7171.
Chrmn, Pres & CEO--L. F. Probst lll.
SVP & CFO--E. S. McKee Jr.
Secy--G. K. Davidson.
Dirs--R. M. Asher, W. J. Byron, D. H. Case lll, R. Cohn, T. Mott, L. F. Probst lll.
Transfer Agent & Registrar--First Interstate Bank, SF.
Incorporated--in California in 1982; reincorporated in Delaware in 1991.
Empl-- 1,077.
S&P Analyst: Peter C. Wood, CFA

This report is for information purposes and should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Neither S&P nor any other party guarantee its accuracy or make warranties regarding results from its usage. Redistribution is prohibited without written permission. Copyright © 1997