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Asia's Growth Prospects: A Report Card
CHINA WEAKNESSES: Failure to reform and privatize state enterprises will hobble com- petitiveness in heavy industries and high tech. Many entrepre neurs may hit the wall without easier access to capital. Beijing's policies make it hard for non-China companies to make money.
HONG KONG WEAKNESSES: Sky-high real estate prices could hamper growth. Negligible R&D makes manufacturing vulnerable. Handover to China could weaken legal system and dull edge as media center.
INDONESIA WEAKNESSES: Heavily protected local producers of cars and electronics poorly positioned for freer trade. Low labor costs offset by red tape, corruption, and poor infrastructure.
MALAYSIA WEAKNESSES: Costs are rising twice as fast as productivity. Acute shortages of production workers and engineers are developing. Few globally competitive domestic manufacturers are emerging.
PHILIPPINES WEAKNESSES: Terrible infrastructure outside of Manila makes most of the country unviable as a production base. Labor-intensive assem- bly work is threatened by low productivity. Too weak in sciences to be major R&D hub.
SINGAPORE WEAKNESSES: High costs and small domestic market could curb expansion. Few indigenous manufacturers successful overseas. Rigid social controls, rote education, and limits on media hamper drive to nurture entertainment and design industries.
SOUTH KOREA WEAKNESSES: Fixation of big groups on commodity products hinders competitiveness in fast-changing markets like computers and software. Costs are soaring.
TAIWAN WEAKNESSES: High costs, traffic congestion, restrictions on expatriates, and lack of direct trade with China make it unlikely Taipei will emerge as a regional hub for multinationals.
THAILAND WEAKNESSES: Rising wages driving out labor-intensive industries, while shortages are developing in technicians and managers. Corrupt and unstable political system makes it difficult to solve problems in infrastructure and education.
VIETNAM WEAKNESSES: Communist Party's failure to enact reforms makes foreign investment too difficult. Physical infrastructure is woefully inadequate. High taxes and corruption offset low wages.
DATA: BUSINESS WEEK
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Updated June 14, 1997 by bwwebmaster
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